Tuesday, January 06, 2009

Wealth-Lab Developer 5.1 Experiment

A few days ago, I downloaded a copy of Wealth-Lab Developer 5.1, portfolio-level backtesting software, with the hope of finding a more powerful and comprehensive tool for system development.

To learn how the software works, I've been trying to recreate some of my StockFetcher filters using Wealth-Lab's click and drag system coder.

Tonight's experiment involved recreating the RSI(2) strategy and applying it to the Nasdaq 100 stocks. However, instead of limiting the system to long only, I combined the RSI(2) long strategy with an RSI(2) short strategy, then ran a two-year backtest.

The rules of the system are simple:
Go long if price is above the MA(50) and RSI(2) is less than 5
Exit when RSI(2) is above 70 or an 8 percent stop loss is hit

Go short if price is below the MA(50) and RSI(2) is greater than 95
Cover when RSI(2) is less than 30 or an 8 percent stop loss is hit

Starting equity is $100,000 and position sizing is $5,000 per trade
Here are the results:


5 comments:

Complacent Panda said...

This looks like a very sweet system. 70% win rate and 15% annualized returns. Nice.

joshua said...

I recently came across your blog and have been reading along. I thought I would leave my first comment. I don't know what to say except that I have enjoyed reading. Nice blog. I will keep visiting this blog very often.


Deborah

Term Life Insurance

Complacent Panda said...

Where did you go Dogwood??? Your fans need your insights!!!

(I am aware I used too much punctuation, but in times such as these too much is often not enough).

Dogwood said...

I'm still here. Been busy with a home remodeling project so not much time for blogging. I'll get busy here shortly.

Thanks for the nudge!

marketmovers said...

Much of your approach can be modeled in Trade-Ideas PRO, backtested with our event-based tool, The OddsMaker, and then even automated if desired. This isnt a pitch, but an invitation to see if I cant help you personally model what you are looking for. Following you now . . . Good luck on the journey